https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/bc-temperature-record-pemberton" target="_blank">temperature has been in parts of the province throughout the winter season so far, the forecast from now into March is hinting at a probability of above-normal temperatures for southern B.C.

Environment and Climate Change Canada

“According to the graphs, the probability that southern B.C. will experience above-normal temperatures during this period is between 40 and 50 per cent,” explained Sekhon.

“However, with a seasonal forecast, even if the probability is high, it’s hard to say whether it’s going to be one intense warm spell or a little warmer each day. It’s hard to say what above normal could turn out to be.”

Environment and Climate Change Canada

The seasonal forecasts of temperature for January-February-March 2026, issued by ECCC on Jan. 1, 2026, also show a 45 per cent probability of above-average temperatures in Victoria on Vancouver Island.

And in Prince George in Northern B.C., there is a 31 per cent probability of above-average temperatures for the next three months.

Environment and Climate Change Canada

The ECCC seasonal forecasts are based on a 20-member ensemble of predictions, 10 members from each of two coupled atmosphere-ocean-land physical climate models. The forecast probabilities are estimated by first computing the anomalies or departures from normal for each ensemble member and then applying the calibration procedure to these values.

If you’re looking for some fun events to check out around Metro Vancouver, no matter the weather, take a look at our list of over 40 fun and fantastic things to do around Vancouver this winter.

Epic concerts, delicious food events, and more. There’s something for everyone to do these next few months.

With files from Laine Mitchell.